Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group B

Thionville

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bourges 18 play Thionville in the National 2 - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bourges 18 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Thionville averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Bourges 18 won 1, Thionville won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Bourges 18 and 1.06 for Thionville. This points to a Bourges 18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Bourges 18

28%

Draws

35%

Thionville

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bourges 18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Bourges 18 picked up more points recently compared to Thionville.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 22%

Thionville Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bourges 18	Thionville
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	14	19
Draws	10	6
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	1.17	1.84
Goals Conceded	0.8	1.26
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 2 - Group B

Thionville vs Bourges 18

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Feb 28, 2026 National 2 - Group B

Bourges 18 vs Thionville

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 18 38 / 100

Thionville 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bourges 18 Thionville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bourges 18 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bourges 18 attacking → ← attacking Thionville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourges 18 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Thionville let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bourges 18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Thionville lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 63

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Thionville	30	18	6	6	53:36	60
2	Bourges 18	30	14	10	6	35:24	52
3	Haguenau	30	14	9	7	43:29	51
4	Feignies-Aulnoye	30	12	10	8	41:24	46
5	Furiani Agliani	30	13	6	11	45:40	45
6	Saint-Pryve	30	12	6	12	48:44	42
7	Dieppe	30	11	8	11	31:36	41
8	Borgo	30	11	7	12	32:37	40
9	Epinal	30	11	7	12	32:37	40
10	Biesheim	30	10	10	10	31:37	39
11	Colmar	30	9	11	10	41:43	37
12	Beauvais	30	9	11	10	39:42	35
13	Wasquehal	30	10	4	16	28:44	34
14	Chambly	30	9	10	11	35:35	34
15	Chantilly	30	6	9	15	32:42	27
16	Blois Foot 41	30	7	4	19	31:47	25