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Bourges 18 vs Troyes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Diakite A.
9' Event
Simakha L.
40' Event
Coly E.

AI Match Summary

Troyes II in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troyes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bourges 18
15%
Draws
64%
Troyes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Troyes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bourges 18 haven't matched Troyes II's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Troyes II taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 21%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourges 18 Troyes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 14 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Bourges 18 vs Troyes II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourges 18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coly E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diallo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Troyes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakite A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simakha L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 18 20 / 100
Troyes II 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourges 18 Troyes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Troyes II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Bourges 18 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Bourges 18 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourges 18 VS Troyes II
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourges 18

(Home)
11 Nov
Bourges 18
2 : 1
Hyeres
07 Nov
Hauts Lyonnais
2 : 0
Bourges 18
31 Oct
Bourges 18
2 : 3
Troyes II
17 Oct
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 0
Bourges 18
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 6

Troyes II

(Away)
11 Nov
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Troyes II
07 Nov
Troyes II
1 : 0
Canet Roussillon
31 Oct
Bourges 18
2 : 3
Troyes II
17 Oct
Troyes II
1 : 0
GOAL FC
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)