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Bourges vs Bergerac

France France

National 2 - Group D 2020/2021
Sat, Apr 24, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourges host Bergerac in the National 2 - Group D 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bourges at 1.13 goals for, 0.75 against; Bergerac at 1.32 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, Bourges have won 0 to Bergerac's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 29, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.11) back Bourges to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bourges
30%
Draws
33%
Bergerac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bourges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bourges haven't matched Bergerac's recent run of results.
  • Bourges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bourges Clean Sheet 20%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourges Bergerac
Matches Played 8 47
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 13
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Bergerac vs Bourges
0:0
Apr 24, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Bourges vs Bergerac
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 National 1 - Group C
Bergerac vs Bourges
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 National 1 - Group C
Bourges vs Bergerac
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 85 / 100
Bergerac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourges Bergerac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourges found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Bergerac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 47 matches.

Bourges went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bourges VS Bergerac
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourges

(Home)
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
21 Jul
Bourges
1 : 1
Orleans
10 Oct
Trelissac
1 : 1
Bourges
26 Sept
Bourges
0 : 2
Moulins-Yzeure
19 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 1
Bourges
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Bergerac

(Away)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
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