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Bourj vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Amelinsa E.
90'
Amelinsa E.
90' Event
Mohamad H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Bourj and Al Riyadi Abbasiyah finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bourj
22%
Draws
60%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bourj come out ahead of Al Riyadi Abbasiyah on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Riyadi Abbasiyah a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bourj Clean Sheet 17%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 13
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Bourj
0:0
May 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Bourj
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1
Mar 3, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Bourj
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourj Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamad H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 20 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourj found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah has conceded goals in 59% of their last 39 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Bourj went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourj VS Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010