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Bourj vs Racing

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Fall A.
50' Event
Jouni S.
52' Event
Hanna C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Bourj and Racing finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bourj
15%
Draws
0%
Racing
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bourj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bourj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bourj taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Bourj Clean Sheet 18%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Racing
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 29
Goals Scored 1.1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Racing
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Racing
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Racing
0:3
May 8, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Bourj
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Bourj
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourj Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jouni S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Racing Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanna C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 85 / 100
Racing 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Racing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Racing lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Bourj found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bourj VS Racing
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourj

(Home)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
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Racing

(Away)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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