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Bourj vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hijazi A.
Assist: Khriess H.
26' Event
Vilanculos G.
Assist: Bazzi H.
40' Event
Khriess H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bourj in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bourj
15%
Draws
46%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bourj lately — more wins on the board than Tadamon.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bourj have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bourj Clean Sheet 15%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourj Tadamon
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.22 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Tadamon
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Tadamon
0:2
Dec 8, 2023 Premier League
Tadamon vs Bourj
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
Tadamon vs Bourj
0:1
Apr 13, 2022 Premier League
Bourj vs Tadamon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourj Compare

Top Goalscorer Hijazi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hazime H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilanculos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourj 35 / 100
Tadamon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourj Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tadamon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bourj scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Tadamon conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bourj remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bourj VS Tadamon
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourj

(Home)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 7

Tadamon

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)