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Bournemouth U18 vs Aston Villa U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Bournemouth U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bournemouth U18
20%
Draws
51%
Aston Villa U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aston Villa U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aston Villa U18 come out ahead of Bournemouth U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aston Villa U18 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Aston Villa U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bournemouth U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bournemouth U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U18 Aston Villa U18
Matches Played 17 34
Wins 6 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 2.76
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League U18
Aston Villa U18 vs Bournemouth U18
2:2
Feb 1, 2019 FA Youth Cup
Bournemouth U18 vs Aston Villa U18
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U18 10 / 100
Aston Villa U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U18 Aston Villa U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bournemouth U18 scored in 88% of their last 17 outings.

Aston Villa U18 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bournemouth U18 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U18 VS Aston Villa U18
2.33 Goals Scored 4.5
3.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Bournemouth U18
1 : 3
Brentford U18
05 Sept
Bournemouth U18
2 : 2
West Ham U18
29 Aug
Ipswich U18
6 : 2
Bournemouth U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4
Brighton U18
Page 1 of 4

Aston Villa U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4
Brighton U18
12 Sept
West Brom U18
2 : 0
Aston Villa U18
05 Sept
Brentford U18
0 : 5
Aston Villa U18
29 Aug
Aston Villa U18
1 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
22 Aug
Fulham U18
5 : 5
Aston Villa U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Oxford Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 3
Aston Villa U18 4
Reading U18 1
Derby U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Nottingham U18 1
Arsenal U18 5
Tottenham U18 2
West Brom U18 5
QPR U18 1
Stoke City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Brighton U18 3
Preston U18 3
Norwich U18 0
Peterborough U18 0
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 4
Accrington U18 0
Hull U18 2
Wigan U18 6
Crystal Palace U18 2
Bolton U18 4
Leicester U18 4
Crewe U18 0
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
1/8-finals
Bournemouth U18 2
Aston Villa U18 0
Derby U18 1
Manchester City U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
West Brom U18 2
Everton U18 2
Brighton U18 0
Preston U18 0
Bury U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Wigan U18 0
Bolton U18 0
Leicester U18 3
Watford U18 4
Ipswich U18 1
Quarter-finals
Bournemouth U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 4
Everton U18 3
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 5
Leicester U18 1
Watford U18 2
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Watford U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 1
Liverpool U18 2