Sport Picks

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Bournemouth U18 vs Norwich U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Corke F.
45' Event
Sealey L.
60' Event
Corke F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Norwich U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bournemouth U18
15%
Draws
36%
Norwich U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norwich U18 come out ahead of Bournemouth U18 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Norwich U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Norwich U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Bournemouth U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Norwich U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U18 Norwich U18
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 2.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 FA Youth Cup
Bournemouth U18 vs Norwich U18
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.24

Norwich U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Corke F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sealey L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U18 29 / 100
Norwich U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U18 Norwich U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bournemouth U18 scored in 88% of their last 17 outings.

Defensive concern: Norwich U18 conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Norwich U18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U18 VS Norwich U18
2.33 Goals Scored 1.5
3.67 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Bournemouth U18
1 : 3
Brentford U18
05 Sept
Bournemouth U18
2 : 2
West Ham U18
29 Aug
Ipswich U18
6 : 2
Bournemouth U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4
Brighton U18
Page 1 of 4

Norwich U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Norwich U18
1 : 5
Arsenal U18
12 Sept
West Ham U18
0 : 4
Norwich U18
05 Sept
Norwich U18
0 : 2
West Brom U18
29 Aug
Southampton U18
7 : 4
Norwich U18
22 Aug
Norwich U18
1 : 6
Tottenham U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Aston Villa U18 4
Cardiff U18 1
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Wolves U18 1
Plymouth U18 3
Lincoln City U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Fulham U18 4
Arsenal U18 4
QPR U18 3
Manchester United U18 5
Preston U18 2
Chelsea U18 7
Merstham U18 1
Watford U18 4
Crewe U18 1
Grimsby U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Southampton U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Derby U18 3
Bournemouth U18 1
Norwich U18 3
Stoke City U18 0
West Brom U18 2
AFC Fylde U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Millwall U18 1
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 0
Plymouth U18 1
Fulham U18 1
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 5
Chelsea U18 1
Watford U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Southampton U18 4
Derby U18 1
Norwich U18 2
West Brom U18 4
Leeds U18 1
Manchester City U18 6
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Plymouth U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 3
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
West Brom U18 0
Manchester City U18 6
Semi-finals
Aston Villa U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Watford U18 0
Manchester City U18 1
Final
Aston Villa U18 3
Manchester City U18 1