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Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 The Wyatt Homes Stadium, Dorset
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
William H.
Assist: Sills E.
13' Event
Day J.
Assist: Lyall-Rajendra M.
17'
Sub
Day J. In: Chubinidze G.
Out: Day J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 game between Bournemouth U21 and Middlesbrough U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bournemouth U21
15%
Draws
32%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Bournemouth U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bournemouth U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth U21 Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.52 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League 2
Bournemouth U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer William H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Day J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibeh C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth U21 83 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth U21 Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bournemouth U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth U21

(Home)
02 Nov
Bournemouth U21
3 : 2
Cardiff U21
26 Oct
Bournemouth U21
3 : 4
Brentford U21
18 Oct
Brighton U21
3 : 3
Bournemouth U21
12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1
Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
03 Nov
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 2
Valencia B
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
20 Oct
Boreham Wood
7 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
16 Oct
Everton U21
2 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0
Juventus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 6 5 1 0 17:8 16
2 Southampton U21 5 4 1 0 12:4 13
3 Chelsea U21 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
4 Norwich U21 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
5 Nottingham U21 6 4 0 2 11:11 12
6 Liverpool U21 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
7 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
8 Fulham U21 6 3 1 2 16:14 10
9 Bournemouth U21 6 3 1 2 14:13 10
10 Reading U21 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
11 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
12 Brentford U21 6 3 0 3 15:13 9
13 Everton U21 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
14 Brighton U21 6 2 2 2 14:14 8
15 West Ham U21 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
16 Aston Villa U21 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
17 Crystal Palace U21 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
18 Derby U21 6 2 1 3 16:16 7
19 Leeds U21 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
20 Manchester City U21 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
21 Ipswich U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
22 Blackburn U21 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
23 Stoke City U21 6 1 1 4 11:11 4
24 Leicester U21 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
25 Arsenal U21 6 0 4 2 7:13 4
26 Burnley U21 6 1 0 5 9:13 3
27 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
28 Wolves U21 4 1 0 3 2:11 3
29 Middlesbrough U21 6 0 2 4 9:14 2
30 Birmingham U21 5 0 2 3 5:16 2
31 West Brom U21 5 0 1 4 11:17 1
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