Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
6'
6'
Canvot J.
10'
10'
Lerma J.
Own Goal
32'
32'
Kroupi E. J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Bournemouth in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Crystal Palace have won more games recently than Bournemouth.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Bournemouth taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 20%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.43 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.43 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth
3:3
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth
0:0
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
0:0
Apr 2, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Rayan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71
Crystal Palace Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 58 / 100
Crystal Palace 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Crystal Palace
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Bournemouth remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Crystal Palace
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
0.43 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 100%
14% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
22 Apr
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Leeds
20 Mar
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Manchester United
Page 1 of 3
Crystal Palace
(Away) 28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3 Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2 Crystal Palace
13 May
Manchester City
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
