Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
6'
6'
Canvot J.
10'
10'
Lerma J.
Own Goal
32'
32'
Kroupi E. J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Bournemouth in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Crystal Palace have won more games recently than Bournemouth.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 14%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth
3:3
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth
0:0
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
0:0
Apr 2, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Rayan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Crystal Palace Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 30 / 100
Crystal Palace 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Crystal Palace
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Bournemouth remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Crystal Palace
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1 Genoa
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
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Crystal Palace
(Away) 17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
28 Aug
Crystal Palace
1 : 4 Manchester City
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
