Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Leeds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
11'
11'
Calvert-Lewin D.
31'
31'
Evanilson
Assist: Kluivert J.
35'
35'
Elvedi N.
AI Match Summary
Bournemouth in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leeds haven't matched Bournemouth's recent run of results.
- Model gives Bournemouth a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 20%
Leeds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Leeds vs Bournemouth
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds
4:1
Nov 5, 2022 Premier League
Leeds vs Bournemouth
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Evanilson
1 Goals Assists Leader Adli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Leeds Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 85 / 100
Leeds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Leeds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Solid form: Bournemouth remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Leeds conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Leeds
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 4
Leeds
(Away) 31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
25 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 0 Leeds
18 Oct
Leeds
1 : 1 Manchester United
10 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 1 Leeds
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
25 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 0 Leeds
10 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 1 Leeds
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1 Leeds
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
