Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
7'
7'
Christie R.
Assist: Gannon-Doak B.
27'
27'
Elder C.
41'
41'
Kluivert J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Bournemouth have won more games recently than Lincoln City.
- Model gives Bournemouth a 67% chance of winning this.
- Bournemouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bournemouth, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 20%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
4:0
Apr 10, 2010 League Two
Lincoln City vs Bournemouth
2:1
Sep 12, 2009 League Two
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
3:1
Jan 31, 2009 League Two
Lincoln City vs Bournemouth
3:3
Oct 25, 2008 League Two
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Christie R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Rayan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Lincoln City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 85 / 100
Lincoln City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Lincoln City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Lincoln City let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Lincoln City
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 3
Lincoln City
(Away) 03 Nov
Watford
1 : 0 Lincoln City
31 Oct
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Birmingham
24 Oct
Lincoln City
4 : 1 Burnley
17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2 Lincoln City
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6 West Ham
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Watford
1 : 0 Lincoln City
17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2 Lincoln City
10 Oct
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0 Lincoln City
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
