Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
England
EFL Cup Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
7'
7'
Christie R.
Assist: Gannon-Doak B.
27'
27'
Elder C.
41'
41'
Kluivert J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Lincoln City have won more games recently than Bournemouth.
- Model gives Bournemouth a 37% chance of winning this.
- Lincoln City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bournemouth, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 17%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 14 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
4:0
Apr 10, 2010 League Two
Lincoln City vs Bournemouth
2:1
Sep 12, 2009 League Two
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
3:1
Jan 31, 2009 League Two
Lincoln City vs Bournemouth
3:3
Oct 25, 2008 League Two
Bournemouth vs Lincoln City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Christie R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Rayan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Lincoln City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 84 / 100
Lincoln City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Lincoln City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Lincoln City let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Lincoln City
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1 Genoa
Page 1 of 3
Lincoln City
(Away) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1 Lincoln City
25 Aug
Blackpool
1 : 4 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
