Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Liverpool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
47'
47'
Szoboszlai D.
57'
57'
Isak A.
61'
61'
Isak A.
AI Match Summary
Liverpool in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Liverpool haven't matched Bournemouth's recent run of results.
- Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Liverpool have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 68%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.34 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
4:2
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Isak A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 95 / 100
Liverpool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Liverpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Liverpool has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Liverpool
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3 Bournemouth
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool
(Away) 04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2 Liverpool
01 Nov
Liverpool
0 : 1 Arsenal
28 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 1 Chelsea
25 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 0 Brighton
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3 Villarreal
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04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2 Liverpool
17 Oct
Brentford
1 : 2 Liverpool
14 Oct
LASK Linz
3 : 6 Liverpool
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
