Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Sunderland
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
18'
18'
Mayenda E.
33'
33'
Sadiki N.
46'
46'
Sub
Brooks D. In: Evanilson
Out: Brooks D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Bournemouth haven't matched Sunderland's recent run of results.
- Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 18%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 14 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Sunderland
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Sunderland vs Bournemouth
3:2
Apr 29, 2017 Premier League
Sunderland vs Bournemouth
0:1
Nov 5, 2016 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Sunderland
1:2
Jan 23, 2016 Premier League
Sunderland vs Bournemouth
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Evanilson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Sunderland Compare
Top Goalscorer Mayenda E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 58 / 100
Sunderland 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Sunderland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sunderland has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Bournemouth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Sunderland
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
23 Aug
Manchester City
2 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1 Genoa
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
Page 1 of 3
Sunderland
(Away) 12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2 Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0 Fulham
22 Aug
Ipswich
2 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
22 Aug
Ipswich
2 : 1 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
4 : 1 Sunderland
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
