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Bournemouth W vs Portsmouth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth W host Portsmouth W in the Women's National League South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Portsmouth W have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Bournemouth W have conceded 1.07 and scored 2.79. Past meetings favor Portsmouth W slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2024, ending 2:4. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Bournemouth W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bournemouth W
30%
Draws
43%
Portsmouth W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portsmouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Portsmouth W haven't matched Bournemouth W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portsmouth W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 19%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bournemouth W Portsmouth W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.79 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Bournemouth W vs Portsmouth W
2:4
Nov 28, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Portsmouth W vs Bournemouth W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bournemouth W 16 / 100
Portsmouth W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bournemouth W Portsmouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bournemouth W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Portsmouth W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Bournemouth W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bournemouth W VS Portsmouth W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth W

(Home)
11 Oct
Bournemouth W
1 : 2
Fulham W
04 Oct
Bournemouth W
0 : 1
Oxford Utd W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
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Portsmouth W

(Away)
11 Oct
Hashtag W
0 : 0
Portsmouth W
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2
Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 7 7 0 0 24:0 21
2 Fulham W 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
3 Bournemouth W 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Portsmouth W 6 3 2 1 10:1 11
5 AFC Wimbledon W 5 3 1 1 12:2 10
6 Lewes W 7 2 3 2 11:10 9
7 Real Bedford W 7 3 0 4 11:16 9
8 Exeter W 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
9 Hashtag W 7 1 4 2 9:13 7
10 Cheltenham W 7 1 2 4 12:20 5
11 Swindon W 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
12 Plymouth W 7 0 0 7 4:31 0
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