Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bow Street
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bow Street have won more games recently than Cefn Albion.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Bow Street taking it.
- Bow Street have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bow Street, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Bow Street Clean Sheet 10%
Cefn Albion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bow Street | Cefn Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 9 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Bow Street vs Cefn Albion
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bow Street 83 / 100
Cefn Albion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bow Street Cefn Albion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bow Street Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bow Street scored in 87% of their last 15 games.
Defensive concern: Cefn Albion conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Cefn Albion registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bow Street VS Cefn Albion
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Bow Street
(Home) 18 Oct
Bow Street
0 : 3 Flint Town
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
15 Jul
Penrhyncoch
2 : 1 Bow Street
14 Oct
Bow Street
2 : 3 Buckley
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4 Bow Street
Page 1 of 3
18 Oct
Bow Street
0 : 3 Flint Town
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bow Street
2 : 3 Buckley
08 Oct
Bow Street
1 : 4 Colwyn Bay
17 Sept
Bow Street
6 : 5 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 2
Cefn Albion
(Away) 20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
