Sport Picks
Bow Street vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Colwyn Bay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Colwyn Bay come out ahead of Bow Street on wins alone.
- Colwyn Bay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Colwyn Bay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Colwyn Bay, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bow Street Clean Sheet 19%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bow Street | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Bow Street vs Colwyn Bay
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bow Street 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bow Street Colwyn Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bow Street's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Colwyn Bay let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Bow Street went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Colwyn Bay
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bow Street
(Home) 18 Oct
Bow Street
0 : 3 Flint Town
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
15 Jul
Penrhyncoch
2 : 1 Bow Street
14 Oct
Bow Street
2 : 3 Buckley
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4 Bow Street
Page 1 of 3
18 Oct
Bow Street
0 : 3 Flint Town
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bow Street
2 : 3 Buckley
08 Oct
Bow Street
1 : 4 Colwyn Bay
17 Sept
Bow Street
6 : 5 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 2
Colwyn Bay
(Away) 26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
28 Aug
TNS
5 : 1 Colwyn Bay
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Colwyn Bay
07 Aug
Ammanford Town
2 : 2 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
