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Bow Street vs Llanidloes Town

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Bow Street advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bow Street
15%
Draws
0%
Llanidloes Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bow Street

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Llanidloes Town haven't matched Bow Street's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bow Street's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bow Street have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bow Street, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Bow Street Clean Sheet 14%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bow Street Llanidloes Town
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 7 3
Draws 0 3
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 2.13 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.67 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Bow Street vs Llanidloes Town
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bow Street 84 / 100
Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bow Street Llanidloes Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bow Street Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bow Street scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

Defensive concern: Llanidloes Town conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Llanidloes Town registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bow Street VS Llanidloes Town
1.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bow Street

(Home)
18 Oct
Bow Street
0 : 3
Flint Town
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2
Cefn Albion
15 Jul
Penrhyncoch
2 : 1
Bow Street
14 Oct
Bow Street
2 : 3
Buckley
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4
Bow Street
Page 1 of 3

Llanidloes Town

(Away)
30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0
Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0
Llanidloes Town
20 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 4
Bangor 1876
13 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 3
Flint Town
06 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 7
Denbigh
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Penlan Club 0
Ynysygerwn 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penybont -
TBD -
Undy 3
Chepstow Town 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Caersws FC 2
Rhostyllen 3
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Porthmadog 3
Llanberis FC 0
Monmouth 3
Cwmamman United 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Goytre Utd -
TBD -
Abergavenny Town 1
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 5
Treharris Athletic 0
Llantwit Major 4
Risca United 0
Llandudno FC 4
Llay Welfare 2
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Caerau Ely 3
Brecon Corinthians 8
Bala -
TBD -
Brymbo 3
Llansantffraid Village 1
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Penydarren 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Llanrhaeadr -
TBD -
Saltney Town 3
Felinheli 1
Penrhyncoch -
TBD -
Aberaeron 1
Ynyshir Albions 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Porthcawl Town 0
Aber Valley 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Holyhead 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Newtown -
TBD -
Llanelwy 2
Berriew FC 7
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Cardiff Airport 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Caergybi 1
Cefn Albion 4
TNS -
TBD -
Llanfairfechan Town 1
Llanrwst United 2
Pure Swansea -
TBD -
Caldicot 6
Penparcau FC 3
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Pontymister 1
Dinas Powys 2
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 6
Llandudno Albion 5
Llanerchymedd 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -
Flint Town -
TBD -
Llanfair United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 3
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
Trefelin 8
Fairwater 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Rhyl 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Holywell Town FC 2
Gresford 3
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Bodedern 5
Llandyrnog United 1
Llangefni 0
Ruthin Town 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pontardawe 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Garden Village 2
Goytre AFC 3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn 1
Cambrian United 3
Penybont 7
Undy 0
Denbigh 0
Caernarfon 4
Prestatyn 6
Rhostyllen 0
Buckley 3
Porthmadog 1
Monmouth 3
Llanelli 0
Goytre Utd 0
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 0
Llantwit Major 3
Llandudno FC 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 6
Brecon Corinthians 0
Bala 17
Brymbo 1
Pontypridd United 6
Penydarren 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Saltney Town 5
Penrhyncoch 4
Ynyshir Albions 1
Aberystwyth 9
Aber Valley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Holyhead 0
Newtown 6
Berriew FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Conwy Borough 3
Cefn Albion 2
TNS 6
Llanrwst United 0
Pure Swansea 6
Caldicot 3
Llanidloes Town 1
Bangor City 4
Dinas Powys 2
Afan Lido 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Guilsfield 5
Ammanford Town 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Flint Town 5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 0
Briton Ferry 0
Trefelin 3
Connahs Q. 5
Rhyl 0
Gresford 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Bodedern 4
Ruthin Town 5
Pontardawe 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Barry Town 2
Goytre AFC 0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Buckley 2
Monmouth 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Bala 5
Pontypridd United 0
Saltney Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberystwyth 4
Cefn Druids 1
Newtown 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Conwy Borough 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Bangor City 0
Dinas Powys 2
Guilsfield 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Flint Town 3
Trefelin 0
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 5
Ruthin Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 0
1/8-finals
Penybont 1
Caernarfon 0
Buckley 0
Taffs Well 2
Haverfordwest 1
Bala 3
Saltney Town 0
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Quarter-finals
Penybont 3
Taffs Well 2
Bala 2
Aberystwyth 1
TNS 2
Guilsfield 0
Connahs Q. 0
Colwyn Bay 2
Semi-finals
Penybont 1
Bala 0
TNS 1
Colwyn Bay 0
Final
Penybont 2
TNS 3