Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bra vs Borgosesia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Musso A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Bra and Borgosesia Calcio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bra
35%
Draws
46%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bra Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bra Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 2
Draws 13 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.06 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra
1:2
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Musso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bra 36 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bra Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borgosesia Calcio conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Bra's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Bra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bra VS Borgosesia Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 0.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bra

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
Page 1 of 7

Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)