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Bra vs Castellazzo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Bra and Castellazzo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bra
35%
Draws
39%
Castellazzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castellazzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bra come out ahead of Castellazzo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bra's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bra Clean Sheet 19%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bra Castellazzo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.96 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Castellazzo
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Bra
0:1
Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Bra
2:1
Nov 15, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Castellazzo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bra 67 / 100
Castellazzo 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bra Castellazzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellazzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Bra found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Bra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bra VS Castellazzo
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bra

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
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Castellazzo

(Away)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)