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Bra vs Novese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between Bra and Novese finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bra
20%
Draws
0%
Novese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bra a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bra have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bra Clean Sheet 17%
Novese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bra Novese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 11 2
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 1.1 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Novese
6:0
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Bra
0:1
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Bra
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Novese
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bra 84 / 100
Novese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bra Novese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novese let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Novese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bra scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Bra VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bra

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
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Novese

(Away)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)