Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bradford City vs Bolton

England England

League One 2025/2026 Valley Parade
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Sub
Toal E. In: Conway M.
Out: Toal E.
46'
Sub
Tilt C. In: Wright T.
Out: Tilt C.
61'
Sub
Pointon B. In: Humphrys S.
Out: Pointon B.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Bradford City and Bolton finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bradford City
39%
Draws
31%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bradford City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 68%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bradford City Bolton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Bolton
0:1
May 9, 2026 League One
Bolton vs Bradford City
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Bolton
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bolton vs Bradford City
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Bolton vs Bradford City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bradford City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Simons X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bradford City 41 / 100
Bolton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bradford City Bolton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bradford City scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Bolton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Bradford City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bradford City VS Bolton
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bradford City0
Bolton2
Stockport County3
Stevenage0
Final
Bolton4
Stockport County1