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Bradford City vs Burnley Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

EFL Cup Valley Parade, Bradford
Bradford City Logo

Bradford City

Wed, Aug 26, 2026
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Burnley Logo

Burnley

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Cartwright H.
62'
Sub
Beesley J. In: Powell N.
Out: Beesley J.
62'
Sub
Jackson K. In: Neufville J.
Out: Jackson K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bradford City
35%
Draws
12%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bradford City lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
  • Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Bradford City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burnley, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Burnley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 68%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bradford City Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 1
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.52 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 EFL Cup
Bradford City vs Burnley
1:0
Jul 23, 2016 Club Friendly
Bradford City vs Burnley
1:4
Aug 1, 2015 Club Friendly
Bradford City vs Burnley
0:2
Mar 27, 2004 Championship
Bradford City vs Burnley
1:2
Sep 19, 2003 Championship
Burnley vs Bradford City
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bradford City 86 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bradford City Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bradford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bradford City scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Burnley let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Bradford City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bradford City VS Burnley
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bradford City

(Home)
03 Oct
Reading
1 : 1
Bradford City
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

Burnley

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -