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Braga B vs Tirsense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Braga B host Tirsense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Braga B at 1.17 goals for, 1 against; Tirsense at 1.27 for, 0.91 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Tirsense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Braga B
20%
Draws
36%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tirsense lately — more wins on the board than Braga B.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Braga B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Braga B Clean Sheet 19%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga B Tirsense
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga B 49 / 100
Tirsense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga B Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Braga B stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Braga B found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Difficult form: Tirsense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braga B VS Tirsense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga B

(Home)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)