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Braga U19 vs Chaves U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lima L.
27' Event
Zinner S.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Camara C.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Braga U19 and Chaves U19 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Braga U19
30%
Draws
37%
Chaves U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves U19 haven't matched Braga U19's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Braga U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Braga U19 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Braga U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga U19 Chaves U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.16 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Chaves U19
4:2
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Braga U19
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Chaves U19
4:1
Oct 3, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Braga U19
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Chaves U19
8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kryvonosyuk L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Chaves U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga U19 59 / 100
Chaves U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga U19 Chaves U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga U19 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Chaves U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Braga U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braga U19 VS Chaves U19
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
05 Sept
Vizela U19
3 : 1
Braga U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Braga U19
2 : 0
Feirense U19
15 Aug
Academico Viseu U19
0 : 2
Braga U19
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Chaves U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
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