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Braga U19 vs Moreirense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Fernandes A.

AI Match Summary

Moreirense U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moreirense U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Braga U19
20%
Draws
40%
Moreirense U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Braga U19 have won more games recently than Moreirense U19.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Braga U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Braga U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga U19 Moreirense U19
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.18 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Braga U19
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Braga U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Moreirense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga U19 49 / 100
Moreirense U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga U19 Moreirense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga U19 scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Moreirense U19 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Braga U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braga U19 VS Moreirense U19
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
05 Sept
Vizela U19
3 : 1
Braga U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Braga U19
2 : 0
Feirense U19
Page 1 of 7

Moreirense U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
8 Famalicao U19 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
9 Academico Viseu U19 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
10 Vizela U19 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Mafra U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
5 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
6 Santa Clara U19 4 2 0 2 10:5 6
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
9 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
10 Alverca U19 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)