Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Braga W vs Rio Ave W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Braga W Logo

Braga W

2 - 1
FT
Rio Ave W Logo

Rio Ave W

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Assucena A.
(Penalty)
70'
Matos I.
74' Event
Schmidt M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Braga W
30%
Draws
19%
Rio Ave W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Braga W have won more games recently than Rio Ave W.
  • Model gives Braga W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Braga W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Braga W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Braga W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Braga W Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga W Rio Ave W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Rio Ave W
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Braga W vs Rio Ave W
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Braga W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Rio Ave W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga W 85 / 100
Rio Ave W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga W Rio Ave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Braga W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rio Ave W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Braga W VS Rio Ave W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga W

(Home)
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

Rio Ave W

(Away)
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
23 May
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
Gil Vicente W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W 1
Sporting W 0
Feirense W 0
Rio Ave W 5
Torreense W 9
Leiria W 1
Damaiense W 0
SL Benfica W 2
Gil Vicente W 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
C.F. Benfica W 1
Famalicao W 2
Maritimo W 2
Valadares Gaia W 0
FC Porto W 3
Ponte de Vagos W 0
Quarter-finals
Braga W 2
Rio Ave W 1
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 3
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
Famalicao W 0
Maritimo W 1
FC Porto W 2
Semi-finals
Braga W 1
SL Benfica W 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 2
FC Porto W 3
Final
SL Benfica W 2
FC Porto W 0