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Braga W vs SL Benfica W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Braga W host SL Benfica W in the Taça da Liga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Braga W have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against SL Benfica W's 2.59 scored and 0.85 conceded. Head-to-head, Braga W have won 1 to SL Benfica W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.88, favoring SL Benfica W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Braga W
15%
Draws
46%
SL Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SL Benfica W come out ahead of Braga W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Braga W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Taça da Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SL Benfica W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Braga W Clean Sheet 10%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga W SL Benfica W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 26
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.63 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs SL Benfica W
1:3
Mar 18, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
SL Benfica W vs Braga W
4:1
Feb 4, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Braga W vs SL Benfica W
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Braga W vs SL Benfica W
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Braga W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga W 34 / 100
SL Benfica W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga W SL Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Braga W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SL Benfica W let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Braga W VS SL Benfica W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga W

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
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SL Benfica W

(Away)
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
FC Porto W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 SL Benfica W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Torreense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Racing Power W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 FC Porto W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valadares Gaia W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sporting W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Maritimo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Vitoria Guimaraes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Rio Ave W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)