Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Braga W vs Sporting W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Halldorsdottir A.
Assist: Alagoa M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Braga W
30%
Draws
28%
Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting W lately — more wins on the board than Braga W.
  • Braga W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Sporting W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Braga W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Braga W Clean Sheet 17%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga W Sporting W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.42 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.26 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Braga W
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Braga W vs Sporting W
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Sporting W
1:1
May 4, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Braga W
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Sporting W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Halldorsdottir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sporting W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga W 36 / 100
Sporting W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga W Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Braga W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Braga W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braga W VS Sporting W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga W

(Home)
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
25 Apr
Braga W
1 : 3
SL Benfica W
04 Apr
Sporting W
3 : 1
Braga W
Page 1 of 7

Sporting W

(Away)
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
29 Jul
Sevilla W
0 : 0
Sporting W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W 1
Sporting W 0
Feirense W 0
Rio Ave W 5
Torreense W 9
Leiria W 1
Damaiense W 0
SL Benfica W 2
Gil Vicente W 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
C.F. Benfica W 1
Famalicao W 2
Maritimo W 2
Valadares Gaia W 0
FC Porto W 3
Ponte de Vagos W 0
Quarter-finals
Braga W 2
Rio Ave W 1
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 3
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
Famalicao W 0
Maritimo W 1
FC Porto W 2
Semi-finals
Braga W 1
SL Benfica W 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 2
FC Porto W 3
Final
SL Benfica W 2
FC Porto W 0