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Bragantino U20 vs Botafogo SP U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bragantino U20 play Botafogo SP U20 in the Paulista U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bragantino U20 averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Botafogo SP U20 averaged 2.12 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Bragantino U20 won 1, Botafogo SP U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 26, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Bragantino U20 and 1.21 for Botafogo SP U20. This points to a Bragantino U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bragantino U20
15%
Draws
41%
Botafogo SP U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bragantino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bragantino U20 picked up more points recently compared to Botafogo SP U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.21 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Bragantino U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo SP U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino U20 Botafogo SP U20
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 20 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.47 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Paulista U20
Bragantino U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Bragantino U20
2:0
May 10, 2025 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Bragantino U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Leles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Botafogo SP U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua Lucas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penha F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino U20 44 / 100
Botafogo SP U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino U20 Botafogo SP U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bragantino U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bragantino U20 attacking → ← attacking Botafogo SP U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino U20 scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Botafogo SP U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bragantino U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Botafogo SP U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 62
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00