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Bragantino U20 vs Gremio U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bragantino U20 play Gremio U20 in the Brasileiro U20. Bragantino U20 are favorites here. Recently, Bragantino U20 averaged 2.71 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Gremio U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Bragantino U20 won 4, Gremio U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 5:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Bragantino U20 and 1.06 for Gremio U20. This points to a Bragantino U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Bragantino U20
15%
Draws
29%
Gremio U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bragantino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Bragantino U20 picked up more points recently compared to Gremio U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Bragantino U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino U20 Gremio U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.71 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Bragantino U20 vs Gremio U20
5:4
May 14, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Gremio U20 vs Bragantino U20
0:2
Jan 17, 2025 Copinha
Gremio U20 vs Bragantino U20
3:2
Jul 3, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Gremio U20 vs Bragantino U20
0:1
Jul 30, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Bragantino U20 vs Gremio U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Leles
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conceicao V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gremio U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraz V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arnaldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino U20 55 / 100
Gremio U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino U20 Gremio U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bragantino U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bragantino U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bragantino U20 attacking → ← attacking Gremio U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino U20 scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Gremio U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bragantino U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gremio U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 38
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515