Sport Picks

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Bragantino vs Atletico-MG

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Lyanco In: Vitor Hugo
Out: Lyanco
52'
Juninho Capixaba
56'
Sub
Herrera J. In: Gustavo Neves
Out: Herrera J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Atletico-MG advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bragantino
35%
Draws
45%
Atletico-MG
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG come out ahead of Bragantino on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Atletico-MG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bragantino, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino Atletico-MG
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bragantino
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Atletico-MG
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Atletico-MG
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bragantino
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Bragantino
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 33 / 100
Atletico-MG 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino Atletico-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Atletico-MG has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Bragantino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS Atletico-MG
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)
12 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 1
Atletico-MG
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2
Corinthians
30 Jul
Bragantino
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Jul
Bragantino
0 : 0
Coritiba
23 Jul
Sporting Cristal
0 : 0
Bragantino
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG

(Away)
12 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 1
Atletico-MG
08 Aug
Remo
2 : 2
Atletico-MG
04 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 1
Atletico-MG
01 Aug
Atletico-MG
0 : 0
EC Juventude
26 Jul
Palmeiras
1 : 2
Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 3
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 1
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe -
River Plate -
Vasco 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0
Bragantino 0
Atletico-MG 1
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 0
Montevideo City 1
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -