Sport Picks
Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista 
Match Events
14'
14'
Lucas Barbosa
Assist: Wallace Yan
34'
34'
Luciano Juba
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Veliz A.
Assist: Rodrigo Nestor
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bragantino and Bahia finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bahia come out ahead of Bragantino on wins alone.
- Bahia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bahia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 17%
Bahia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bragantino | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Bahia
2:3
Mar 18, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Bragantino
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Bragantino
2:1
Jun 12, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Bahia
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Bahia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bragantino Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucas Barbosa
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Veliz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Erick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bragantino 28 / 100
Bahia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bragantino Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Bragantino's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Bahia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Bragantino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bragantino VS Bahia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bragantino
(Home) 20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
12 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2 Corinthians
30 Jul
Bragantino
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
Bahia
(Away) 20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
