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Stadium Background

Bragantino vs Cruzeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bragantino host Cruzeiro in the Serie A Betano. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bragantino at 1.41 goals for, 1.07 against; Cruzeiro at 1.45 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Bragantino have won 1 to Cruzeiro's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Cruzeiro. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bragantino
15%
Draws
73%
Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bragantino haven't matched Cruzeiro's recent run of results.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 16%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino Cruzeiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Bragantino
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Bragantino
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 31 / 100
Cruzeiro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Cruzeiro conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Cruzeiro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS Cruzeiro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Bragantino
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Bragantino
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 28 12 7 9 37:32 43
8 Santos 28 11 8 9 43:41 41
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Sao Paulo 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
11 Bragantino 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)