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Bragantino vs Mirassol Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bragantino host Mirassol in the Serie A Betano. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bragantino have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Mirassol's 1.27 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Bragantino have won 1 to Mirassol's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back Mirassol to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bragantino
20%
Draws
57%
Mirassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bragantino haven't matched Mirassol's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mirassol taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 19%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino Mirassol
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Mirassol vs Bragantino
2:1
Apr 23, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Bragantino vs Mirassol
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Bragantino
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Paulista
Mirassol vs Bragantino
0:0
Oct 1, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Bragantino
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 16 / 100
Mirassol 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bragantino scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Bragantino remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS Mirassol
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
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Mirassol

(Away)
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)