Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista

Bragantino

0 - 1

River Plate

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Matheus Fernandes

18'

Eduardo Sasha

22'

Subiabre I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Bragantino

15%

Draws

59%

River Plate

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to River Plate lately — more wins on the board than Bragantino.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
River Plate arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Bragantino Clean Sheet 17%

River Plate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bragantino	River Plate
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	16
Draws	8	5
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.4	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.1	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

River Plate vs Bragantino

1:1

May 1, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Bragantino vs River Plate

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

River Plate Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Quarta L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 31 / 100

River Plate 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bragantino River Plate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Plate Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bragantino scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

River Plate has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Bragantino has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS River Plate

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)

20 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 1

Bragantino

12 Sept

Botafogo RJ

1 : 1

Bragantino

05 Sept

Bragantino

2 : 3

Bahia

29 Aug

Sao Paulo

2 : 1

Bragantino

23 Aug

Bragantino

1 : 0

Gremio

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River Plate

(Away)

19 Sept

River Plate

1 : 2

Huracan

12 Sept

Atl. Tucuman

1 : 2

River Plate

06 Sept

River Plate

3 : 1

Ind. Rivadavia

30 Aug

Banfield

2 : 3

River Plate

27 Aug

River Plate

1 : 2

Santa Fe

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