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Stadium Background

Brage vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Zetterstrom A. In: Konjuhi L.
Out: Zetterstrom A.
13' Event
Trpcevski F.
Assist: Nordh G.
17' Event
Nilsson M.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brage
44%
Draws
20%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falkenberg lately — more wins on the board than Brage.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Falkenberg
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
2:4
Aug 9, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
0:2
Nov 27, 2021 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
1:2
Apr 17, 2021 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Trpcevski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mortensen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallstrom H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 34 / 100
Falkenberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Falkenberg has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Brage has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Falkenberg
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
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Falkenberg

(Away)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1693432:2230
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Oster1682627:2526
6Landskrona1574422:1625
7Nordic United1574425:2225
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)