Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brage vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Zetterstrom A. In: Konjuhi L.
Out: Zetterstrom A.
13' Event
Trpcevski F.
Assist: Nordh G.
17' Event
Nilsson M.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Brage
30%
Draws
58%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falkenberg lately — more wins on the board than Brage.
  • Falkenberg are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Falkenberg
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
4:1
Jun 26, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
2:4
Aug 9, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
0:2
Nov 27, 2021 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Trpcevski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mortensen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallstrom H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 10 / 100
Falkenberg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Brage scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Falkenberg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Brage has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Falkenberg
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

Falkenberg

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)