Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brage vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Assist: Holmberg K.
21' Event
Sise M.
49'
Trpcevski F.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Brage and Orebro finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Brage
35%
Draws
19%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Brage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Brage taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Brage Clean Sheet 13%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Orebro
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Orebro
3:3
May 8, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Brage
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Brage vs Orebro
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Orebro
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Sise M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madsen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiedesheim-Paul R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yasin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 39 / 100
Orebro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Brage scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Orebro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Brage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Orebro
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
14 Aug
Brage
3 : 3
Orebro
08 Aug
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Brage
01 Aug
Brage
2 : 1
Landskrona
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
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Orebro

(Away)
14 Aug
Brage
3 : 3
Orebro
10 Aug
Norrby
3 : 1
Orebro
03 Aug
Orebro
1 : 3
Varnamo
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 19 13 2 4 36:11 41
2 Falkenberg 19 10 5 4 36:27 35
3 Varberg 19 10 4 5 34:24 34
4 Ostersund 19 9 6 4 29:22 33
5 Nordic United 20 8 8 4 31:27 32
6 Sandviken 20 8 5 7 35:28 29
7 Oddevold 20 7 8 5 33:28 29
8 Landskrona 19 8 5 6 25:20 29
9 Oster 19 9 2 8 30:29 29
10 Helsingborg 20 7 4 9 33:40 25
11 Norrby 20 4 11 5 25:27 23
12 Brage 20 5 6 9 34:38 21
13 Ljungskile 19 5 5 9 25:29 20
14 Varnamo 19 5 3 11 23:37 18
15 Orebro 19 3 7 9 18:31 16
16 Sundsvall 19 3 1 15 14:43 10
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)