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Stadium Background

Brage vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arlig W.
Assist: Silverholt O.
10'
Johansson N.
11'
Lundin A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brage
20%
Draws
38%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Varberg have won more games recently than Brage.
  • Model gives Brage a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%
Varberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Varberg
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Varberg
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Brage
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Varberg
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Brage
0:1
Apr 1, 2024 Superettan
Brage vs Varberg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Horberg F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skille J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlig W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borgelin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 40 / 100
Varberg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Varberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Brage went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Varberg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
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Varberg

(Away)
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1693432:2230
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Oster1682627:2526
6Landskrona1574422:1625
7Nordic United1574425:2225
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)