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Braintree vs Chesham

England England

National League South Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium, Braintree
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kasimu H.
11' Event
Lewis A.
18'
Lewis A.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Braintree and Chesham finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braintree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Braintree
15%
Draws
37%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Braintree haven't matched Chesham's recent run of results.
  • Braintree are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Braintree Clean Sheet 68%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Chesham
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.43 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Chesham
3:2
Oct 17, 2023 FA Cup
Chesham vs Braintree
3:1
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Braintree vs Chesham
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djadja A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasimu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 50 / 100
Chesham 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braintree Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Chesham has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Braintree stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Chesham
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
05 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 2
Braintree
31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2
Farnborough
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Chesham

(Away)
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1
Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4
Chesham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)