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Braintree vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kasimu H.
11' Event
Lewis A.
18'
Lewis A.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Braintree and Chesham finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braintree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Braintree
20%
Draws
15%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Braintree have managed 1.74 goals a game lately — Chesham are scoring more at 1.93.
  • Braintree are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Braintree Clean Sheet 68%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Chesham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Chesham
3:2
Oct 17, 2023 FA Cup
Chesham vs Braintree
3:1
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Braintree vs Chesham
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djadja A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasimu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 95 / 100
Chesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braintree Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Chesham has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Braintree stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Chesham
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
03 Nov
Braintree
3 : 1
Norwich U21
31 Oct
Braintree
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
27 Oct
Braintree
2 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
24 Oct
Farnham
6 : 0
Braintree
13 Oct
Braintree
2 : 4
West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6

Chesham

(Away)
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2
Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0
Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)