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Braintree vs Dagenham & Red. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Johnson L.
80' Event
Clayden C.
90' Event
Bolovan A.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Braintree and Dagenham & Red. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braintree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Braintree
20%
Draws
29%
Dagenham & Red.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dagenham & Red. come out ahead of Braintree on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dagenham & Red. a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Braintree Clean Sheet 13%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Dagenham & Red.
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Dagenham & Red.
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 National League
Braintree vs Dagenham & Red.
0:0
Dec 26, 2024 National League
Dagenham & Red. vs Braintree
2:4
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Braintree vs Dagenham & Red.
3:4
Apr 22, 2019 National League
Braintree vs Dagenham & Red.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolovan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Top Goalscorer Clayden C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 22 / 100
Dagenham & Red. 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Dagenham & Red.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagenham & Red. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Braintree remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Dagenham & Red. let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Dagenham & Red.
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
03 Nov
Braintree
3 : 1
Norwich U21
31 Oct
Braintree
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
27 Oct
Braintree
2 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
24 Oct
Farnham
6 : 0
Braintree
13 Oct
Braintree
2 : 4
West Ham U21
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Dagenham & Red.

(Away)
31 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
27 Oct
Braintree
2 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Chesham
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)