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Stadium Background

Braintree vs Farnborough

England England

National League South Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium, Braintree
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Whittle A.
71' Event
Frost T.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Braintree and Farnborough finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Braintree
30%
Draws
16%
Farnborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Braintree haven't matched Farnborough's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Farnborough a 16% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Braintree Clean Sheet 18%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Farnborough
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Farnborough
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 FA Cup
Braintree vs Farnborough
2:0
Dec 23, 2023 National League South
Farnborough vs Braintree
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 National League South
Braintree vs Farnborough
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 National League South
Farnborough vs Braintree
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whittle A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frost T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 20 / 100
Farnborough 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Farnborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Farnborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Braintree stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Farnborough
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

Farnborough

(Away)
26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2
Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 9 1 0 8 9:23 3
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)