Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Braintree vs Maidstone

England England

National League South Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium, Braintree
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Matthews A.
79' Event
Matthews A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Leahy T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Braintree and Maidstone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braintree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Braintree
20%
Draws
33%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Maidstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maidstone a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Braintree Clean Sheet 11%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braintree Maidstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.59 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Maidstone
2:1
Jan 23, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Braintree
1:1
Aug 15, 2023 National League South
Braintree vs Maidstone
1:2
Mar 19, 2022 National League South
Braintree vs Maidstone
1:2
Mar 8, 2022 National League South
Maidstone vs Braintree
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Matthews A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Maidstone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braintree 27 / 100
Maidstone 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braintree Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Maidstone conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Braintree has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Braintree VS Maidstone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Braintree

(Home)
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6

Maidstone

(Away)
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
05 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
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