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Brann vs Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Brann Stadion, Bergen
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brann host Aarhus in the Conference League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Brann at 1.86 goals for, 1.45 against; Aarhus at 1.59 for, 1.55 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.56, favoring Brann. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Brann
30%
Draws
31%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brann lately — more wins on the board than Aarhus.
  • Brann are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Brann Clean Sheet 15%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Aarhus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 66 / 100
Aarhus 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brann Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Brann remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Aarhus lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Aarhus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brann

(Home)
05 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 1
Brann
01 Nov
Brann
3 : 2
Molde
28 Oct
Grorud
0 : 2
Brann
25 Oct
Lillestrom
3 : 2
Brann
22 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 4
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus

(Away)
05 Nov
Aarhus
0 : 0
Braga
01 Nov
Brondby
2 : 0
Aarhus
28 Oct
Roskilde
1 : 2
Aarhus
25 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Viborg
22 Oct
Aarhus
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)