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Brann vs Bologna

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Brann Stadion, Bergen
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Castro S.
Assist: Cambiaghi N.
14'
Bernardeschi F.
30'
Boakye N.

AI Match Summary

Bologna in this Europa League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brann
20%
Draws
47%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bologna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bologna have won more games recently than Brann.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bologna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bologna, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bologna here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Brann Clean Sheet 13%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Bologna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Europa League
Bologna vs Brann
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 Europa League
Brann vs Bologna
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Europa League
Bologna vs Brann
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brann Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 31 / 100
Bologna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Bologna let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Brann has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Bologna
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Brann

(Home)
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2
Rosenborg
30 Jul
Brann
3 : 1
Universitatea Cluj
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
23 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 2
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Bologna

(Away)
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3