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Stadium Background

Brann vs Sarpsborg 08

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Brann Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Holten R.
Assist: Soltvedt J.
41' Event
Halvorsen V. E.
Assist: Sorli S.
45' Event
Sorli S.
Assist: Niyukuri C.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Brann and Sarpsborg 08 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brann
30%
Draws
34%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarpsborg 08 come out ahead of Brann on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Brann taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Brann Clean Sheet 16%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Eliteserien
Brann vs Sarpsborg 08
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Brann
1:4
May 16, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Sarpsborg 08
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Brann vs Sarpsborg 08
1:3
Jul 20, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Brann
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer Holten R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen V. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 36 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Sarpsborg 08

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Brann has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Sarpsborg 08
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt1392231:1129
2Tromso1484222:1428
3Viking1190229:1127
4Lillestrom1271419:1122
5Molde1262420:1520
6Ham-Kam1153319:1818
7Sarpsborg 081252514:1617
8Valerenga1352619:2217
9Brann1351726:2116
10Sandefjord1243512:1515
11Fredrikstad1342715:2314
12Rosenborg1233612:1812
13KFUM Oslo1233612:1912
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1232711:2111
16Start1314814:307