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Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Brasil de Farroupilha
35%
Draws
20%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brasil de Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Farroupilha average 0.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Monsoon's 0.87.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Brasil de Farroupilha taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Monsoon, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Monsoon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Monsoon
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 15 13
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:1
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Brasil de Farroupilha
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 86 / 100
Monsoon 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Farroupilha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monsoon conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Brasil de Farroupilha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brasil de Farroupilha found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Monsoon
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
13 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 0
Apafut
09 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
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Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)