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Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brasil de Farroupilha
39%
Draws
31%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brasil de Farroupilha lately — more wins on the board than Monsoon.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Brasil de Farroupilha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monsoon, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Monsoon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Monsoon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 13
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:1
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Brasil de Farroupilha
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 41 / 100
Monsoon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monsoon conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Brasil de Farroupilha scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Brasil de Farroupilha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Monsoon
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
07 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 1
Gramadense
30 May
Gramadense
2 : 2
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 May
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
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Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)