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Brasil de Farroupilha W vs Elite C.D. W

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brasil de Farroupilha W play Elite C.D. W in the Gaucho Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brasil de Farroupilha W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Elite C.D. W averaged 1.91 goals scored and 5.18 conceded. In past meetings, Brasil de Farroupilha W won 2, Elite C.D. W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Brasil de Farroupilha W and 1.63 for Elite C.D. W. This points to a Brasil de Farroupilha W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Brasil de Farroupilha W
15%
Draws
34%
Elite C.D. W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brasil de Farroupilha W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Brasil de Farroupilha W picked up more points recently compared to Elite C.D. W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Brasil de Farroupilha W Clean Sheet 14%
Elite C.D. W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha W Elite C.D. W
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.19 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.97 5.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Gaucho Women
Brasil de Farroupilha W vs Elite C.D. W
6:0
Sep 22, 2024 Gaucho Women
Brasil de Farroupilha W vs Elite C.D. W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha W Compare

Top Goalscorer Isadora
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pinho B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Elite C.D. W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha W 49 / 100
Elite C.D. W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha W Elite C.D. W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brasil de Farroupilha W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brasil de Farroupilha W attacking → ← attacking Elite C.D. W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha W scored in 41% of their last 32 games.

Elite C.D. W let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Brasil de Farroupilha W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Elite C.D. W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 11
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gremio W541024:013
2EC Juventude W532020:011
3Internacional W531137:210
4Brasil de Farroupilha W520312:186
5Futvida W50142:381
6Elite C.D. W50141:381