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Brasil de Pelotas vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF Estádio Bento Freitas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brasil de Pelotas play Farroupilha in the Copa FGF. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brasil de Pelotas averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Farroupilha averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Brasil de Pelotas won 2, Farroupilha won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Brasil de Pelotas and 0.69 for Farroupilha. This points to a Brasil de Pelotas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brasil de Pelotas
35%
Draws
23%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas picked up more points recently compared to Farroupilha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 28%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas Farroupilha
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.32 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Farroupilha
4:0
May 21, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Masson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Morbeck
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 43 / 100
Farroupilha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas Farroupilha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brasil de Pelotas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brasil de Pelotas attacking → ← attacking Farroupilha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Farroupilha let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Brasil de Pelotas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Farroupilha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 14
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93