Sport Picks
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa FGF Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas 
Match Events
16'
16'
Guty
55'
55'
Gabriel Morbeck
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brasil de Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Brasil de Pelotas's way, sitting at 80%.
- Brasil de Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Brasil de Pelotas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brasil de Pelotas | Guarany de Bage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:3
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Serie D
Guarany de Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brasil de Pelotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Guty
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Morbeck
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Guarany de Bage Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brasil de Pelotas 86 / 100
Guarany de Bage 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brasil de Pelotas Guarany de Bage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Brasil de Pelotas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Guarany de Bage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Brasil de Pelotas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brasil de Pelotas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Brasil de Pelotas
(Home) 27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0 Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 GE Gloria
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0 Lajeadense
27 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2 Brasil de Farroupilha
22 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0 Aimore
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Guarany de Bage
(Away) 17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2 Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1 Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
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14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2 Guarany de Bage
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1 Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
16 May
Sao Luiz
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
13 May
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gramadense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RS | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
